"Red must chose 5."
In this case red has to stop right in front of the last fence and should remain on the inner lane. Black and yellow jump over the last but one fence and are not allowed to change lane. The distance for black to the last fence is now 6 squares. If red now plays a 4 to jump over the last fence there will be no space for black to jump over the last fence too. To avoid a fall black has to play a card that does not take him further than 6 squares. This does not work out with joker 10 or 11. The third card of black is not exactly known but, however, he has not got any 3-6. With every other card black will fall at the fence. This is also valid for a simple 11 or 12. Because black has not got any handicap, there is no possibility for him to stop.

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