The 8 sided White gives Silver the best chance to finish 18th hole with the same result as Yellow is supposed to.
Yellow has made a tee-off of 200 m. This length can only be reached by using the Driver
from on HC 11.5. Consequently Yellow plays the professional rules (Homepage/GolfProfi/Rules), what means that he needs a chip to play a fade on the green. As he does not posses a chip anymore there are 2 further strokes necessary to put the ball in. Thus Silver has to chose a Club, which gives the highest probability to put the ball in with 2 further strokes.
The 4 sided White is ruled out, since it must not be played on the rough.
The 4 sided Green can be played on the rough, but only by using the direction die. Silver has not left any chip to correct the ball/’s direction. The intended line is kept with a probability of 4:6. But only the lengths of 3 or 4 straight ahead lead to a following putt without a fade. If the ball flies to the left it is the same for the lengths of 3, 5 and 6, with 6 outside the green. If the ball flies to the right, the lengths of 3, 4 and 5 would be successful. Altogether these options give exactly a probability of 14:24, including only 4:24 for the ball lying right beside the hole.
The 8 sided White needs no direction die. With a probability of 1:8 the ball does not move. If Silver chooses the intended line to the right, every length (1-5) except 0 leads to a following putt without a fade. This is a probability of 7:8 or 21:24. With the lengths of 2, 3 and 4 the ball will lie right beside the hole. This is a probability of 4:8 or 12:24.
The probabilities of the 8 sided Green are worse than that and therefore need not to be
discussed.
The correct stroke with the 8 sided White was played by Benno Schotte at the last hole of the AZA-GolfMasters 2005, which lead with a length of 4 to victory and winning the GolfProfi Cup.
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